The most recent info Musk dropped to the public was pricing. With Musk’s twitter reading:
“The price, with options: $42,000 to $45,500. Maybe.”
As per Tesla’s website, the Model 3 base price is set at $35,000. Of course if you’re already buying a Tesla, chances are you are interested in all that hot but optional Tesla technology too
Musk tweeted that the reason they came up with the figure is that the “typical average” option premium in the auto industry is 20% to 30% over base. Head of Tesla global sales Jonathan McNeill corroborated in his reply, “I think 20% is a fair number to use.”
As of this month, Tesla has yet to outright commit to the mid-40s figure.
“I think it’s really guesswork at this point,” Musk said.
The wait for a formal announcement could be long even as the car is set for release in a little less than 2 months.
And Tesla seems aware of this.
Tesla made waves when it was widely reported that at least 375,000 customers have placed refundable $1,000 deposits to get in line for a Model 3 last year alone. This year they have stopped releasing wait-list numbers, although Musk said Wednesday, May 3, that “our net reservations continue to climb week after week.”
However, given Tesla’s production guidance, many industry experts believe that the majority of those customers may have to wait up to 2 years to buy the car they pre-ordered.
Last year, Elon Musk said the company was planning to make 500,000 cars of all their models by the end of 2018. Today they have yet to meet their goals to produce 5,000 cars a week. Their goal for 2018 is 10,000 cars a week.
Using simple mathematics, that means the total production of Models S, X and 3 could range between 260,000 and 520,000 cars in 2018.
If Tesla manages to make 100,000 Model S and Model X luxury cars in 2018, the low-end estimate predicts 160,000 Model 3s.
That means more than half of Model 3 pre-orders could be waiting until 2019 or beyond to receive their automobiles.
One of Musk’s plans to meet their goals is through cutting edge autonomous production.
This means a “machine that builds the machine,” according to Musk which he calls the “Alien Dreadnaught.”
Here’s what he said May 4th:
“I think we’ll be roughly comparable with the best high-volume vehicle production lines in the world. Better in some respects, a little worse in others. But roughly comparable. And then with some further iteration, I think it will probably be a little bit better than the next-best automotive production line.
“Then where things will really be a step change, I think, beyond any other auto manufacturer, will be the Model Y factory.”